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PrintAl Franken Tied with Coleman, Survey USA Poll
News Type: Opinion — Mon Nov 5, 2007 1:58 PM EST
It's Christmas morning for me, Al Franken and the state of Minnesota (to which I have no ties but the rather tenuous tie of being a Packer fan). In a head-to-head matchup between Al Franken and Sen. Norm Coleman, the breakdown is as follows:
Coleman: 46%
Franken: 45%
Undecided: 9%
I am so close to extasy, that it is almost painful (though that might have something to do with the egg salad sandwich I just had). This is rather interesting as Franken has rather high unfavorables, but the Senator, with equal unfavorables but greater favorables, can't beat the comedian/pundit/demi-god.
This is one of a great many of Senate battle state polls coming out of Survey USA. Here's the site. And here's my rough breakdown:
Oregon: Not as pretty for the Dems as one would expect, in fact Smith is 6 to 10 points ahead of the prospective Democrats.
Minnesota: Both Al and Ciresi are tied with Coleman. Based on what I've seen, the Democrats rise and Coleman just sort of sits there (polling-wise).
New Mexico: Things look good for a Democrat winning the seat, and if it's Richardson it's a cake walk.
Virginia: Warner wins, basically. He's above 50% and 10 points ahead of George Allen and more ahead of Jim Gilmore.
Colorado: If it's Udall, the Dems are ahead by 6, but he hasn't decided (my guess is this poll puts some juice in his campaign drink).
Maine: Why do people say Democrats have a chance here? They clearly don't know Susan Collins, who leads the biggest Democrat by 17.
New Hampshire: Shaheen is ahead by 11, Buckley (whoever that is) is behind Sununu by 13.
For those bottom-line types, that means of sevent current Republican-held seats, two are likely (as of now) to stay red, one is a tie and four are (very) likely pickups by the Dems. Let's say arguendo that Landrieu loses in Louisiana and Franken wins. That means that the makeup of the Senate would be 55-45 Democratic majority. That's a swap of 10 net seats in two elections. Damn, it feels good to be a Democrat.
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Just to point out, calling Al Franken a "demi-god" was supposed to be a joke written in a fit of passion and hysterical wonder at Franken being tied. I knew he was underestimated from the very beginning and this is merely an instantiation of my complete and total vindication (and yours too Al!).
Ya gotta love it. I listened to Al on Air Ameica when he was doing that gig. Funny man.
I would love to see Al take Coleman to the cleaners. Was not Coleman the one who angered the Brit Galloway to the point where Galloway came over here and disassembled Coleman in front of God and everyone else? That was high comedy indeed. I think I still have a transcript of that somewhere.
I come from the readership of Lies... and Truth where he basically declared. Those are so good and so clear in the ideas he was putting across and in deconstructing his enemies that I knew he was going to do really well. I think if more people read those books, we'd see a lot less comparisons to Michael Moore and Ann Coulter. He is not of their type. He is his own man and Minnesota is clearly responding to it. Just wait until November. Exciting times when an almost-ordinary Al can run and win a senate seat.
Hey, Here in La. Vitter is the whore chasing Repug. Sweet Mary is a Dem although she usually votes with the Pugs.
I read your post as if you thought Landrieu was a Republican. Did I misunderstand? I might have got lost in the numbers game.
Sorry, I was basically giving the end game of the election. My impression is that Landrieu is the only Democrat that can even possibly lose, so I was saying that even if the Democrats lose that seat, there is still a pretty big pickup if these polls are accurate at all. There wasn't any polling of LA on Survey USA in this bunch.
OK, now I understand what you were saying.
Thanks.
Five more and we've got cloture on fillibusters licked!
Go for it!
Finding five more seats is not as easy as you might think.
Say Landrieu wins (even after the exodus of her support), Smith (OR) loses, you'd need Maine to change its mind along with Alaska, Nebraska (which aren't likely). That'd get you 60. The problem is that in all of those states (Along with Texas, Wyoming, Tennessee and North Carolina) you can't find somebody strong enough. Think about Virginia, Montana and Pennsylvania in 2006. Each of those Democrats wouldn't run as Democrats in 2002.
It's good to see Al Franken doing well.
For some reason, they polled again and found it at 48 for Coleman and 44 for Franken. Thought you'd like to know.