U.S. & International Economic Recap
International Perspective Week of 1/17/2011
Econoday
Simply Economics Week of 1/17/2011
Econoday
The FOMC - where do they stand on QE2?
Short Take Week of 11/2/2010
Econoday
Fri - Jan 21 2011
This Week's Econoday Market Moving Indicators
1/19/2011
Housing Starts
Housing StartsReleased on 1/19/2011 for Dec, 2010
Actual0.635
Consensus
Previous0.530
Highlights

Housing may be gaining forward momentum but adverse weather appears to have delayed groundbreaking. For the latest month, starts declined while permits strengthened. Housing starts in December slipped back 4.3 percent, following a 3.8 percent rebound in November. The December annualized pace of 0.529 million units fell short of the median forecast for 0.550 million units and is down 8.2 percent on a year-ago basis. The reversal in December was led by a 9.0 percent drop in single-family starts, following a 5.8 percent gain the month before. The multifamily component rebounded 17.9 percent after declining 5.0 percent in November.<br><br>By region, declines were seen in the Midwest, down 38.4; the Northeast, down 24.7; and South, down 2.2 percent. The sharp weakness in the Midwest and Northeast indicates that snow storms played a role in damping starts. For the West, starts jumped 45.8 percent. <br><br>Housing permits, in contrast, made a 16.7 percent comeback in December after declining 1.4 percent in November. Overall permits posted at an annualized rate of 0.635 million units and are down 6.8 percent on a year-ago basis. The latest boost was led by the multifamily component which was up a sharp 53.5 percent while single-family permits improved 5.5 percent.<br><br>The gain in permits may be a significant positive as it in part reflects optimism of homebuilders. December starts were relatively weak and this likely was due to atypically adverse weather for the month. Permits are much less affected by weather as homebuilders simply fill out paperwork indoors while starts depend on whether bulldozers and workers have good weather to operate. However, the Commerce Department noted that building code changes took effect on January 1 in California, Pennsylvania and New York. In turn, some of the multifamily strength likely is due to construction companies getting approval before the tighter regulations.<br><br>Today's report should be seen as a positive despite starts falling short of expectations. The big issue going forward is whether homebuilder optimism is confirmed by gains in home sales. If sales stay flat, starts will ease. But meanwhile, homebuilders have reason to be cautious and the boost in permits should be seen in that context. Optimism is up but more toward multifamily than single-family.<br><br><br>

Definition

A housing start is registered at the start of construction of a new building intended primarily as a residential building. The start of construction is defined as the beginning of excavation of the foundation for the building.

Actual 8:30 AM ET
Upcoming Econoday Market Moving Indicators
1/26/2011
FOMC Meeting Announcement
FOMC Meeting AnnouncementReleased on 1/26/2011 for
Actual
Consensus0 to 0.25
Previous0 to 0.25
Definition

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is the policy-making arm of the Federal Reserve. It determines short-term interest rates in the U.S. when it decides the overnight rate that banks pay each other for borrowing reserves when a bank has a shortfall in required reserves. This rate is the fed funds rate. The FOMC also determines whether the Fed should add or subtract liquidity in credit markets separately from that related to changes in the fed funds rate. The Fed announces its policy decision (typically whether to change the fed funds target rate) at the end of each FOMC meeting. This is the FOMC announcement. The announcement also includes brief comments on the FOMCs views on the economy and how many FOMC members voted for and how many voted against the policy decision.

Consensus 2:15 PM ET
1/27/2011
Durable Goods Orders
Durable Goods OrdersReleased on 1/27/2011 for Dec, 2010
Actual
Consensus
Previous2.4
Definition

Durable goods orders reflect the new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for immediate and future delivery of factory hard goods. The first release, the advance, provides an early estimate of durable goods orders. About two weeks later, more complete and revised data are available in the factory orders report. The data for the previous month are usually revised a second time upon the release of the new months data.<br/><br/>Durable goods orders are available nationally by both industry and market categories. A new order is accompanied by a legally binding agreement to purchase for immediate or future delivery. Advance durable goods orders no longer include data on semiconductors since semiconductor manufacturers stopped releasing this information to the Census Bureau.<br/><br/>The advance durable goods report also contains information on shipments, unfilled orders and inventories. Shipments represent deliveries made, valued at net selling price after discounts and allowances, excluding freight charges and excise taxes. Semiconductor data are available for shipments and inventories. Unfilled orders are those received but not yet delivered.<br/><br/>In 2001, the Census Bureau shifted from the standard industrial classification (SIC) system to the North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS). This caused some realignment of major industry classifications. Given the significant revisions incurred, the historical data now begin in 1992.

Consensus 8:30 AM ET
1/28/2011
GDP
GDPReleased on 1/28/2011 for Q4a
Actual
Consensus1.5
Previous2.1
Definition

GDP represents the total value of the countrys production during the period and consists of the purchases of domestically-produced goods and services by individuals, businesses, foreigners and government entities. Data are available in nominal and real (inflation-adjusted) dollars, as well as in index form. Economists and market players always monitor the real growth rates generated by the GDP quantity index or the real dollar value. The quantity index measures inflation-adjusted activity, but we are more accustomed to looking at dollar values.<br/><br/>Individuals purchase personal consumption expenditures -- durable goods (such as furniture and cars), nondurable goods (such as clothing and food) and services (such as banking, education and transportation).<br/><br/>Private housing purchases are classified as residential investment. Businesses invest in nonresidential structures, durable equipment and computer software. Inventories at all stages of production are counted as investment. Only inventory changes, not levels, are added to GDP.<br/><br/>Net exports equal the sum of exports less imports. Exports are the purchases by foreigners of goods and services produced in the United States. Imports represent domestic purchases of foreign-produced goods and services and must be deducted from the calculation of GDP.<br/><br/>Government purchases of goods and services are the compensation of government employees and purchases from businesses and abroad. Data show the portion attributed to consumption and investment. Government outlays for transfer payments or interest payments are not included in GDP.<br/><br/>The GDP price index is a comprehensive indicator of inflation. It is typically lower than the consumer price index because investment goods (which are in the GDP price index but not the CPI) tend have lower rates of inflation than consumer goods and services.

Consensus 8:30 AM ET

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IPO & SPO - MorningNotes®
SymbolCompanyExchangeTypeShare/Price
VRUSPharmasset IncNASDAQSPO3,000,000 @ $46.33
CPGYChina Shandong Industries IncNASDAQSPO5,882,353 @ --
CORTCorcept Therapeutics IncNASDAQSPO10,000,000 @ $3.90
RDEAArdea Biosciences IncorporatedNASDAQSPO2,750,000 @ $26.00
ISLEIsle of Capri Casinos IncNASDAQSPO5,300,000 @ $10.25
263 Total Events    View All
Earnings
SymbolCompanyActualSurprise
SPIL
$0.05
$0.05
----
SPIL
$0.27
$0.29
----
TNCC
$0.01
$0.08
0.0525.00
TNCC
$0.12
$0.39
0.24-4.00
WIT
$0.10
$0.12
0.120.00
Estimate Range
 
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Total number of Analysts:
257 Total Events    View All
Dividends
SymbolCompanyDividendPay DateEx DateAnnouncedRecorded
XAWPX$0.031/31/20111/21/201111/19/20101/25/2011
XAODX$0.061/31/20111/21/201112/21/20101/25/2011
XAGDX$0.061/31/20111/21/201112/21/20101/25/2011
XFENX$0.461/31/20111/21/20111/12/20111/25/2011
XFAVX$0.281/31/20111/21/20111/12/20111/25/2011
20 Total Events    View All
Splits
SymbolCompanyRatioPay DateEx DateAnnouncedRecorded
TEFTelefonica SA3:11/20/20111/21/201112/17/20101/18/2011
DNYFDBlue Zen Memorial Parks Inc1:101/21/20111/21/20111/20/20111/21/2011
MVBFMVB Financial Corp11:102/15/20111/21/201112/21/20101/25/2011
COSNDCosine Communications Inc1:5001/21/20111/21/20111/20/20111/21/2011
COSNDCosine Communications Inc500:1--1/21/20111/20/2011--
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